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What Will 2018 Bring for Homebuilders?

Entry-level homes will continue to see price gains due to the larger number of buyers who can afford them and more limited homes available for sale in this price range.

By Toby Tobin
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PALM COAST, FL – January 10, 2018 – Realtor.com  delivered housing economic insights for the builder community by releasing a special edition of its 2018 Housing Forecast at The NAHB International Builders' Show going on this week in Orlando.

Key takeaways for builders in 2018

  • Entry-level home construction is a huge opportunity – Entry-level homes will continue to see price gains due to the larger number of buyers who can afford them and more limited homes available for sale in this price range.
  • Millennials to gain market share in all home price segments – With the largest cohort of millennials expected to turn 30 in 2020, their homeownership market share is expected to increase. As they age into peak family forming years, their top housing priorities will shift from proximity to urban life, to more space and quality schools.
  • Southern markets predicted to lead sales growth – Strong economies and healthy building levels will help drive Southern markets to beat the national average home sales growth. Builders who can adapt to regulatory hurdles in more challenging Western markets will find that prices still outperform national average growth in this region.
  • The tax bill is a game changer – With the passing of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, the immediate wealth and income effect of tax cuts will likely stimulate demand and increased production in the short term. However, it could lead to fewer sales over the long term and negatively impact prices over time in markets with higher prices and property taxes. In addition, economic capacity constraints could kick in with inflation as the Fed more aggressively increments interest rate increases.

© 2018 Florida Realtors®.  All rights reserved. Reprinted with permission.

Toby Tobin: REALTOR®, SRES®

I am a REALTOR® licensed by the State of Florida and Seniors Real Estate Specialist, SRES®, with Grand Living Realty, now helping fellow aged 50+ buyers and sellers achieve improved outcomes in real estate transactions by integrating them with other age-related decisions/plans through my broad network of respected service providers; financial, wills, trusts, probate, insurance, healthcare, home services, recreation, lifestyle, estate planning, and adult living facilities.

Take advantage of my "Been there. Done that." experience, typically at no additional cost to you. Call me at (386) 931-7124 or email me at Toby@GoToby.com.

reader comments
Tax Cuts and Jobs Act good for Florida real estate
Posted by Bill Lyon
Jan 11, 2018, 1:41 pm
Hi, Toby,

I'm thinking that, since we get most of our new buyers from the northeast where high property taxes are the norm, many of those there who have considered selling their homes and moving to Florida now have an even bigger incentive to do so! Since there will be a $10,000 cap on property tax deductions, might this be the trigger to finally get people that have been contemplating the move to finally make the leap and come on down to Florida? Perhaps we will have a very good real estate sales year in 2018.....

Reply to Bill
Posted by Toby
Jan 11, 2018, 8:43 am
I agree. Florida will be a net gainer from the tax law reforms.

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Don "Toby" Tobin is a licensed real estate professional affiliated with Grand Living Realty. Toby is a member of the Flagler County Association of Realtors®, the Florida Association of Realtors, Enterprise Flagler, Flagler Home Builders Association, and the National Association of Realtors.

GoToby.com proivdes real estate news, commentary, and analysis for Palm Coast and Flagler Country Florida, as well as Realtor® referrals and consultation to buyers, sellers, and developers.